Overall Market Index
Mean of the 9 line indices for Sept 2026
From the Jul 2026 broker renewal reports (Aon Reinsurance Market Dynamics, Gallagher Re 1st View, Guy Carpenter, Howden Re Market Report). Site updated 26 Oct 2026.
Pricing Tools
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Renewal premium from published rate changes
Based on Jul 2026 renewals · 4 sources
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- Aon Reinsurance Market Dynamics · Jul 2026 renewal · -20.0%
p.12: “U.S. Treaty ... Capacity: Ample ... Cat XL Pricing: Down 15% to 25% (risk-adjusted)”
p.3: “Property catastrophe reinsurance renewals at June 1 and July 1 were productive for insurers, with double-digit pricing reductions and improving terms for most placements.”
p.13: “Supply of both traditional reinsurance and third-party capital remained ample at the mid-year renewals and was more than adequate to meet higher demand for reinsurance protection.”
- Gallagher Re 1st View · Jul 2026 renewal · -22.5%
p.13: “As a result, overall pricing decreases on property cat placements accelerated at mid-year, falling in the range -20% to -25% or more.”
p.5: “On property cat, risk-adjusted reductions reached 20%-25%, and beyond, for the strongest accounts.”
p.10: “Capacity has remained plentiful, and appetite from traditional reinsurers and alternative capital providers has been strong.”
- Guy Carpenter · Jul 2026 renewal · -16.0%
p.3: “Risk-adjusted decreases have deepened since January 1, 2026, with the global property catastrophe rate on line index down -16%.”
p.7: “Benign losses, coupled with abundant reinsurer capacity and growing risk appetite, continue to drive a competitive pricing environment.”
p.8: “Market capacity easily met buyer demand for limit. ... Excess capacity remains a significant factor for renewals, with estimates at July 1, 2026 to be 28%.”
p.9: “Pricing remains in line with January 1 renewal, with non-loss-impacted placements experiencing risk-adjusted rate changes between -10% and -20%.”
- Guy Carpenter · Jun 2026 renewal · -17.5%
p.1: “According to the report, risk-adjusted property catastrophe pricing generally declined in the -15% to -20% range across many layers, as reinsurers expanded appetite across attachment points.”
p.1: “more capacity was available, terms improved, and pricing moved in line with the better loss outlook”
- Howden Re Market Report · Jun 2026 renewal · -25.0%
p.1: “Risk-adjusted property-catastrophe rate-on-line decreases of up to 25% on a weighted-average basis, with the steepest reductions on loss-free programmes, representing a materially faster pace than the -14.7% decline recorded by Howden Re at 1 January 2026 and the -16% decline recorded at 1 April 2026;”
p.1: “Abundant traditional capacity and a catastrophe bond market on course for one of its largest first halves on record absorbed a meaningful increase in mid-year demand.”
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Based on Jul 2026 renewals · 4 sources
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- Aon Reinsurance Market Dynamics · Jul 2026 renewal · -20.0%
p.12: “U.S. Treaty ... Capacity: Ample ... Cat XL Pricing: Down 15% to 25% (risk-adjusted)”
p.3: “Property catastrophe reinsurance renewals at June 1 and July 1 were productive for insurers, with double-digit pricing reductions and improving terms for most placements.”
p.13: “Supply of both traditional reinsurance and third-party capital remained ample at the mid-year renewals and was more than adequate to meet higher demand for reinsurance protection.”
- Gallagher Re 1st View · Jul 2026 renewal · -22.5%
p.13: “As a result, overall pricing decreases on property cat placements accelerated at mid-year, falling in the range -20% to -25% or more.”
p.5: “On property cat, risk-adjusted reductions reached 20%-25%, and beyond, for the strongest accounts.”
p.10: “Capacity has remained plentiful, and appetite from traditional reinsurers and alternative capital providers has been strong.”
- Guy Carpenter · Jul 2026 renewal · -16.0%
p.3: “Risk-adjusted decreases have deepened since January 1, 2026, with the global property catastrophe rate on line index down -16%.”
p.7: “Benign losses, coupled with abundant reinsurer capacity and growing risk appetite, continue to drive a competitive pricing environment.”
p.8: “Market capacity easily met buyer demand for limit. ... Excess capacity remains a significant factor for renewals, with estimates at July 1, 2026 to be 28%.”
p.9: “Pricing remains in line with January 1 renewal, with non-loss-impacted placements experiencing risk-adjusted rate changes between -10% and -20%.”
- Guy Carpenter · Jun 2026 renewal · -17.5%
p.1: “According to the report, risk-adjusted property catastrophe pricing generally declined in the -15% to -20% range across many layers, as reinsurers expanded appetite across attachment points.”
p.1: “more capacity was available, terms improved, and pricing moved in line with the better loss outlook”
- Howden Re Market Report · Jun 2026 renewal · -25.0%
p.1: “Risk-adjusted property-catastrophe rate-on-line decreases of up to 25% on a weighted-average basis, with the steepest reductions on loss-free programmes, representing a materially faster pace than the -14.7% decline recorded by Howden Re at 1 January 2026 and the -16% decline recorded at 1 April 2026;”
p.1: “Abundant traditional capacity and a catastrophe bond market on course for one of its largest first halves on record absorbed a meaningful increase in mid-year demand.”
Regional Pricing
Typical published risk-adjusted rate change, newest renewal period per cell. Newest data: Jul 2026 renewals. Hover or tap a cell for its sources.
| LOB / Region | Global | US | UK | Europe | APAC | LatAm | ME |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Property Catastrophe | no data | ||||||
| Property (per risk) | no data | no data | |||||
| Casualty | no data | no data | no data | ||||
| Cyber | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data | ||
| D&O | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data | |
| Marine | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data | |
| Aviation | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data | |
| Energy | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data | |
| Professional Liability | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data |
Rate Changes by Line
Newest renewal period per lineProperty Cat
Reports of 1 Jul 2026
Aon Reinsurance Market Dynamics · Gallagher Re 1st View · Guy Carpenter
Property
Reports of 1 Jul 2026
Gallagher Re 1st View · Guy Carpenter
Casualty
Reports of 1 Jul 2026
Aon Reinsurance Market Dynamics · Gallagher Re 1st View
Cyber
Reports of 1 Jul 2026
Gallagher Re 1st View · Guy Carpenter
D&O
Reports of 1 Jul 2026
Aon Reinsurance Market Dynamics · Guy Carpenter
Marine
Reports of 20 Feb 2026
International Group of P&I Clubs
Aviation
Reports of 1 Jul 2026
Gallagher Re 1st View
Energy
Reports of 1 Jan 2026
Aon Reinsurance Market Dynamics · Guy Carpenter · Howden Re Market Report · WTW Energy Market Review
Prof Liability
Reports of 1 Jul 2026
Gallagher Re 1st View
Market Signals
50 of 50 news signals from 10 news sources. Last updated 26 Oct 2026.
Market Intelligence
Market Capacity Tracker
Capacity changes reported from 26 Oct 2025 to 26 Oct 2026
Market Capital, Latest Level
Totals as reported. They are levels, not changes, and are not in the sums above.
Capacity Events
Loss Event Tracker
7 loss events, 7 Jan 2025 to 9 Oct 2026, newest first
Category 2 hurricane, landfall near Destin, Florida on 9 October 2026. Industry insured loss estimates: Moody's RMS $2.5bn to $4.5bn, KCC $3bn (private market, wind and surge), Verisk up to $2bn (onshore property), Euler ILS Partners $2bn to $4bn. Low = lowest estimate, mid = KCC point estimate, high = highest estimate (USD millions). Evidence: "Recently, Moody's RMS Event Response team estimated that insurance industry losses from hurricane Isaias will range between $2.5 billion and $4.5 billion."
Russia-bound oil tanker suffered drone attack in Black Sea requiring coastguard assistance
Storm Goretti caused claims frequency to triple according to Crawford and Company
Fatal helicopter crash in Arizona mountains after FAA warning about slackline obstacle
Munich Re reported $108 billion global insured losses from natural disasters in 2025, down from $147 billion in 2024. Non-peak perils most costly ever.
Fire at Swiss bar on New Year's Eve killed 40 people and injured over 100. Service door was locked.
Most destructive wildfires in LA history. One year later, fewer than a dozen homes rebuilt. Caused approximately $40 billion insured losses.
Market Index by LOB
Property Cat
Index for Sept 2026
Property
Index for Jul 2026
Casualty
Index for Jul 2026
Cyber
Index for Jul 2026
D&O
Index for Jul 2026
Marine
Index for Jul 2026
Aviation
Index for Jul 2026
Energy
Index for Jan 2026
Prof Liability
Index for Jul 2026
Historical Trends
Index History
Jan 2025 to Sept 2026. 11 months with report data; a point marks a month with data for that line.
Data Sources
Reports with figures in the index, newest report date
Index Methodology
How we calculate the index
The index scores each line of business from 0 to 100, where 50 is a flat market, below 50 is softening and above 50 is hardening. It is built only from figures published in broker renewal reports and the Artemis quarterly cat bond reports, each stored with its source, date and a quote. Every report row gives up to three inputs: the risk-adjusted rate change, the direction of capacity, and the tone of the report. A rate change of -30% or lower scores 0, no change scores 50, and +30% or higher scores 100, on a straight line between. Rates weigh 50%, capacity 30% and tone 20%; when a report gives no figure for one of them, the others are re-weighted and nothing is filled in. Each report counts once per line and month, however many figures it gives. The overall index is the average of all nine lines, each taken at its latest reading from the past 12 months.
Hear when the index moves
The index changes after each renewal (1 January, 1 April, 1 June, 1 July) and each quarterly cat bond report. Join the waitlist and we will tell you when new figures are published and when new features are ready.
How We Source Our Data
Broker Reports
We read the public market reports of reinsurance brokers. Most come out twice a year, for the 1 January and 1 July renewals.
Data Extraction
We record the rate change, capacity view and sentiment that each report states for each line, with the page and quote it comes from. Every figure keeps its source and report date.
Index Calculation
Rates 50%, capacity 30% and sentiment 20% give a 0-100 index per line. Below 50 means softening; above 50 means hardening. See the methodology above.